Last data update: May 06, 2024. (Total: 46732 publications since 2009)
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Respiratory syncytial virus hospitalizations associated with social vulnerability by census tract: An opportunity for intervention?
Thomas CM , Raman R , Schaffner W , Markus TM , Ndi D , Fill MA , Dunn JR , Talbot HK . Open Forum Infect Dis 2024 11 (5) ofae184 BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) can cause hospitalization in young children and older adults. With vaccines and monoclonal antibody prophylaxis increasingly available, identifying social factors associated with severe illnesses can guide mitigation efforts. METHODS: Using data collected by the RSV Hospitalization Surveillance Network from 2016 to 2023, we identified RSV hospitalizations in Tennessee. We linked hospitalization information (eg, patient demographic characteristics and outcome) with population-level variables (eg, social vulnerability and health care insurance coverage) from publicly available data sets using census tract of residence. Hospitalization incidence was calculated and stratified by period (2016-2020 and 2020-2023). We modeled social vulnerability effect on hospitalization incidence using Poisson regression. RESULTS: Among 2687 RSV hospitalizations, there were 677 (25.2%) intensive care unit admissions and 38 (1.4%) deaths. The highest RSV hospitalization incidences occurred among children aged <5 years and adults aged ≥65 years: 272.8 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 258.6-287.0) and 60.6 (95% CI, 56.0-65.2), respectively. Having public health insurance was associated with higher hospitalization incidence as compared with not having public insurance: 60.5 per 100 000 person-years (95% CI, 57.6-63.4) vs 14.3 (95% CI, 13.4-15.2). Higher hospitalization incidence was associated with residing in a census tract in the most socially vulnerable quartile vs the least vulnerable quartile after adjusting for age, sex, and period (incidence rate ratio, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.3-1.6). CONCLUSIONS: RSV hospitalization was associated with living in more socially vulnerable census tracts. Population measures of social vulnerability might help guide mitigation strategies, including vaccine and monoclonal antibody promotion and provision to reduce RSV hospitalization. |
SARS-CoV-2 viral shedding and rapid antigen test performance - Respiratory Virus Transmission Network, November 2022-May 2023
Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Mellis AM , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Schmitz J , Lutrick K , Ellingson KD , Stockwell MS , McLaren SH , Nguyen HQ , Rao S , Asturias EJ , Davis-Gardner ME , Suthar MS , Kirking HL . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (16) 365-371 As population immunity to SARS-CoV-2 evolves and new variants emerge, the role and accuracy of antigen tests remain active questions. To describe recent test performance, the detection of SARS-CoV-2 by antigen testing was compared with that by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and viral culture testing during November 2022-May 2023. Participants who were enrolled in a household transmission study completed daily symptom diaries and collected two nasal swabs (tested for SARS-CoV-2 via RT-PCR, culture, and antigen tests) each day for 10 days after enrollment. Among participants with SARS-CoV-2 infection, the percentages of positive antigen, RT-PCR, and culture results were calculated each day from the onset of symptoms or, in asymptomatic persons, from the date of the first positive test result. Antigen test sensitivity was calculated using RT-PCR and viral culture as references. The peak percentage of positive antigen (59.0%) and RT-PCR (83.0%) results occurred 3 days after onset, and the peak percentage of positive culture results (52%) occurred 2 days after onset. The sensitivity of antigen tests was 47% (95% CI = 44%-50%) and 80% (95% CI = 76%-85%) using RT-PCR and culture, respectively, as references. Clinicians should be aware of the lower sensitivity of antigen testing compared with RT-PCR, which might lead to false-negative results. This finding has implications for timely initiation of SARS-CoV-2 antiviral treatment, when early diagnosis is essential; clinicians should consider RT-PCR for persons for whom antiviral treatment is recommended. Persons in the community who are at high risk for severe COVID-19 illness and eligible for antiviral treatment should seek testing from health care providers with the goal of obtaining a more sensitive diagnostic test than antigen tests (i.e., an RT-PCR test). |
Acute cardiac events in hospitalized older adults with respiratory syncytial virus infection
Woodruff RC , Melgar M , Pham H , Sperling LS , Loustalot F , Kirley PD , Austin E , Yousey-Hindes K , Openo KP , Ryan P , Brown C , Lynfield R , Davis SS , Barney G , Tesini B , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Zahid H , Kim L , Havers FP . JAMA Intern Med 2024 IMPORTANCE: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection can cause severe respiratory illness in older adults. Less is known about the cardiac complications of RSV disease compared with those of influenza and SARS-CoV-2 infection. OBJECTIVE: To describe the prevalence and severity of acute cardiac events during hospitalizations among adults aged 50 years or older with RSV infection. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study analyzed surveillance data from the RSV Hospitalization Surveillance Network, which conducts detailed medical record abstraction among hospitalized patients with RSV infection detected through clinician-directed laboratory testing. Cases of RSV infection in adults aged 50 years or older within 12 states over 5 RSV seasons (annually from 2014-2015 through 2017-2018 and 2022-2023) were examined to estimate the weighted period prevalence and 95% CIs of acute cardiac events. EXPOSURES: Acute cardiac events, identified by International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification or International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification discharge codes, and discharge summary review. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Severe disease outcomes, including intensive care unit (ICU) admission, receipt of invasive mechanical ventilation, or in-hospital death. Adjusted risk ratios (ARR) were calculated to compare severe outcomes among patients with and without acute cardiac events. RESULTS: The study included 6248 hospitalized adults (median [IQR] age, 72.7 [63.0-82.3] years; 59.6% female; 56.4% with underlying cardiovascular disease) with laboratory-confirmed RSV infection. The weighted estimated prevalence of experiencing a cardiac event was 22.4% (95% CI, 21.0%-23.7%). The weighted estimated prevalence was 15.8% (95% CI, 14.6%-17.0%) for acute heart failure, 7.5% (95% CI, 6.8%-8.3%) for acute ischemic heart disease, 1.3% (95% CI, 1.0%-1.7%) for hypertensive crisis, 1.1% (95% CI, 0.8%-1.4%) for ventricular tachycardia, and 0.6% (95% CI, 0.4%-0.8%) for cardiogenic shock. Adults with underlying cardiovascular disease had a greater risk of experiencing an acute cardiac event relative to those who did not (33.0% vs 8.5%; ARR, 3.51; 95% CI, 2.85-4.32). Among all hospitalized adults with RSV infection, 18.6% required ICU admission and 4.9% died during hospitalization. Compared with patients without an acute cardiac event, those who experienced an acute cardiac event had a greater risk of ICU admission (25.8% vs 16.5%; ARR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.23-1.93) and in-hospital death (8.1% vs 4.0%; ARR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.36-2.31). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study over 5 RSV seasons, nearly one-quarter of hospitalized adults aged 50 years or older with RSV infection experienced an acute cardiac event (most frequently acute heart failure), including 1 in 12 adults (8.5%) with no documented underlying cardiovascular disease. The risk of severe outcomes was nearly twice as high in patients with acute cardiac events compared with patients who did not experience an acute cardiac event. These findings clarify the baseline epidemiology of potential cardiac complications of RSV infection prior to RSV vaccine availability. |
Severity of respiratory syncytial virus vs COVID-19 and influenza among hospitalized US adults
Surie D , Yuengling KA , DeCuir J , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Martinez A , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Leis AM , Khan A , Hough CL , Bender WS , Duggal A , Bendall EE , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Mosier JM , Safdar B , Casey JD , Talbot HK , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Swan SA , Johnson CA , Lwin CT , Lewis NM , Ellington S , McMorrow ML , Martin ET , Self WH . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (4) e244954 IMPORTANCE: On June 21, 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines for adults aged 60 years and older using shared clinical decision-making. Understanding the severity of RSV disease in adults can help guide this clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVE: To describe disease severity among adults hospitalized with RSV and compare it with the severity of COVID-19 and influenza disease by vaccination status. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cohort study, adults aged 18 years and older admitted to the hospital with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 US states from February 1, 2022, to May 31, 2023. Clinical data during each patient's hospitalization were collected using standardized forms. Data were analyzed from August to October 2023. EXPOSURES: RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Using multivariable logistic regression, severity of RSV disease was compared with COVID-19 and influenza severity, by COVID-19 and influenza vaccination status, for a range of clinical outcomes, including the composite of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and in-hospital death. RESULTS: Of 7998 adults (median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 4047 [50.6%] female) included, 484 (6.1%) were hospitalized with RSV, 6422 (80.3%) were hospitalized with COVID-19, and 1092 (13.7%) were hospitalized with influenza. Among patients with RSV, 58 (12.0%) experienced IMV or death, compared with 201 of 1422 unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 (14.1%) and 458 of 5000 vaccinated patients with COVID-19 (9.2%), as well as 72 of 699 unvaccinated patients with influenza (10.3%) and 20 of 393 vaccinated patients with influenza (5.1%). In adjusted analyses, the odds of IMV or in-hospital death were not significantly different among patients hospitalized with RSV and unvaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.59-1.13; P = .22) or influenza (aOR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.82-1.76; P = .35); however, the odds of IMV or death were significantly higher among patients hospitalized with RSV compared with vaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02-1.86; P = .03) or influenza disease (aOR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.62-4.86; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among adults hospitalized in this US cohort during the 16 months before the first RSV vaccine recommendations, RSV disease was less common but similar in severity compared with COVID-19 or influenza disease among unvaccinated patients and more severe than COVID-19 or influenza disease among vaccinated patients for the most serious outcomes of IMV or death. |
Characteristics and outcomes of pregnant women hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed respiratory syncytial virus before and during the COVID-19 pandemic
Milucky J , Patel K , Patton ME , Kirley PD , Austin E , Meek J , Anderson EJ , Brooks A , Brown C , Mumm E , Salazar-Sanchez Y , Barney G , Popham K , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Crossland MT , Havers FP . Open Forum Infect Dis 2024 11 (3) ofae042 BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) can cause severe disease among infants and older adults. Less is known about RSV among pregnant women. METHODS: To analyze hospitalizations with laboratory-confirmed RSV among women aged 18 to 49 years, we used data from the RSV Hospitalization Surveillance Network (RSV-NET), a multistate population-based surveillance system. Specifically, we compared characteristics and outcomes among (1) pregnant and nonpregnant women during the pre-COVID-19 pandemic period (2014-2018), (2) pregnant women with respiratory symptoms during the prepandemic and pandemic periods (2021-2023), and (3) pregnant women with and without respiratory symptoms in the pandemic period. Using multivariable logistic regression, we examined whether pregnancy was a risk factor for severe outcomes (intensive care unit admission or in-hospital death) among women aged 18 to 49 years who were hospitalized with RSV prepandemic. RESULTS: Prepandemic, 387 women aged 18 to 49 years were hospitalized with RSV. Of those, 350 (90.4%) had respiratory symptoms, among whom 33 (9.4%) were pregnant. Five (15.2%) pregnant women and 74 (23.3%) nonpregnant women were admitted to the intensive care unit; no pregnant women and 5 (1.6%) nonpregnant women died. Among 279 hospitalized pregnant women, 41 were identified prepandemic and 238 during the pandemic: 80.5% and 35.3% had respiratory symptoms, respectively (P < .001). Pregnant women were more likely to deliver during their RSV-associated hospitalization during the pandemic vs the prepandemic period (73.1% vs 43.9%, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Few pregnant women had severe RSV disease, and pregnancy was not a risk factor for a severe outcome. More asymptomatic pregnant women were identified during the pandemic, likely due to changes in testing practices for RSV. |
COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Technical (VaST) work group: Enhancing vaccine safety monitoring during the pandemic
Markowitz LE , Hopkins RH Jr , Broder KR , Lee GM , Edwards KM , Daley MF , Jackson LA , Nelson JC , Riley LE , McNally VV , Schechter R , Whitley-Williams PN , Cunningham F , Clark M , Ryan M , Farizo KM , Wong HL , Kelman J , Beresnev T , Marshall V , Shay DK , Gee J , Woo J , McNeil MM , Su JR , Shimabukuro TT , Wharton M , Keipp Talbot H . Vaccine 2024 During the COVID-19 pandemic, candidate COVID-19 vaccines were being developed for potential use in the United States on an unprecedented, accelerated schedule. It was anticipated that once available, under U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) or FDA approval, COVID-19 vaccines would be broadly used and potentially administered to millions of individuals in a short period of time. Intensive monitoring in the post-EUA/licensure period would be necessary for timely detection and assessment of potential safety concerns. To address this, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) convened an Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) work group focused solely on COVID-19 vaccine safety, consisting of independent vaccine safety experts and representatives from federal agencies - the ACIP COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Technical Work Group (VaST). This report provides an overview of the organization and activities of VaST, summarizes data reviewed as part of the comprehensive effort to monitor vaccine safety during the COVID-19 pandemic, and highlights selected actions taken by CDC, ACIP, and FDA in response to accumulating post-authorization safety data. VaST convened regular meetings over the course of 29 months, from November 2020 through April 2023; through March 2023 FDA issued EUAs for six COVID-19 vaccines from four different manufacturers and subsequently licensed two of these COVID-19 vaccines. The independent vaccine safety experts collaborated with federal agencies to ensure timely assessment of vaccine safety data during this time. VaST worked closely with the ACIP COVID-19 Vaccines Work Group; that work group used safety data and VaST's assessments for benefit-risk assessments and guidance for COVID-19 vaccination policy. Safety topics reviewed by VaST included those identified in safety monitoring systems and other topics of scientific or public interest. VaST provided guidance to CDC's COVID-19 vaccine safety monitoring efforts, provided a forum for review of data from several U.S. government vaccine safety systems, and assured that a diverse group of scientists and clinicians, external to the federal government, promptly reviewed vaccine safety data. In the event of a future pandemic or other biological public health emergency, the VaST model could be used to strengthen vaccine safety monitoring, enhance public confidence, and increase transparency through incorporation of independent, non-government safety experts into the monitoring process, and through strong collaboration among federal and other partners. |
SARS-CoV-2 shedding and evolution in patients who were immunocompromised during the omicron period: a multicentre, prospective analysis
Raglow Z , Surie D , Chappell JD , Zhu Y , Martin ET , Kwon JH , Frosch AE , Mohamed A , Gilbert J , Bendall EE , Bahr A , Halasa N , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Johnson C , Swan SA , Koumans E , McMorrow ML , Harcourt JL , Atherton LJ , Burroughs A , Thornburg NJ , Self WH , Lauring AS . Lancet Microbe 2024 BACKGROUND: Prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infections in people who are immunocompromised might predict or source the emergence of highly mutated variants. The types of immunosuppression placing patients at highest risk for prolonged infection have not been systematically investigated. We aimed to assess risk factors for prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infection and associated intrahost evolution. METHODS: In this multicentre, prospective analysis, participants were enrolled at five US medical centres. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older, were SARS-CoV-2-positive in the previous 14 days, and had a moderately or severely immunocompromising condition or treatment. Nasal specimens were tested by real-time RT-PCR every 2-4 weeks until negative in consecutive specimens. Positive specimens underwent viral culture and whole genome sequencing. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess factors associated with duration of infection. FINDINGS: From April 11, 2022, to Oct 1, 2022, 156 patients began the enrolment process, of whom 150 were enrolled and included in the analyses. Participants had B-cell malignancy or anti-B-cell therapy (n=18), solid organ transplantation or haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT; n=59), AIDS (n=5), non-B-cell malignancy (n=23), and autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions (n=45). 38 (25%) participants were real-time RT-PCR-positive and 12 (8%) were culture-positive 21 days or longer after initial SARS-CoV-2 detection or illness onset. Compared with the group with autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions, patients with B-cell dysfunction (adjusted hazard ratio 0·32 [95% CI 0·15-0·64]), solid organ transplantation or HSCT (0·60 [0·38-0·94]), and AIDS (0·28 [0·08-1·00]) had longer duration of infection, defined as time to last positive real-time RT-PCR test. There was no significant difference in the non-B-cell malignancy group (0·58 [0·31-1·09]). Consensus de novo spike mutations were identified in five individuals who were real-time RT-PCR-positive longer than 56 days; 14 (61%) of 23 were in the receptor-binding domain. Mutations shared by multiple individuals were rare (<5%) in global circulation. INTERPRETATION: In this cohort, prolonged replication-competent omicron SARS-CoV-2 infections were uncommon. Within-host evolutionary rates were similar across patients, but individuals with infections lasting longer than 56 days accumulated spike mutations, which were distinct from those seen globally. Populations at high risk should be targeted for repeated testing and treatment and monitored for the emergence of antiviral resistance. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Clinical outcomes of US adults hospitalized for COVID-19 and influenza in the Respiratory Virus Hospitalization Surveillance Network, October 2021-September 2022
Kojima N , Taylor CA , Tenforde MW , Ujamaa D , O'Halloran A , Patel K , Chai SJ , Daily Kirley P , Alden NB , Kawasaki B , Meek J , Yousey-Hindes K , Anderson EJ , Openo KP , Reeg L , Tellez Nunez V , Lynfield R , Como-Sabetti K , Ropp SL , Shaw YP , Spina NL , Barney G , Bushey S , Popham K , Moran NE , Shiltz E , Sutton M , Abdullah N , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , Chatelain R , Price A , Garg S , Havers FP , Bozio CH . Open Forum Infect Dis 2024 11 (1) ofad702 Severe outcomes were common among adults hospitalized for COVID-19 or influenza, while the percentage of COVID-19 hospitalizations involving critical care decreased from October 2021 to September 2022. During the Omicron BA.5 period, intensive care unit admission frequency was similar for COVID-19 and influenza, although patients with COVID-19 had a higher frequency of in-hospital death. |
Association of chronic medical conditions with severe outcomes among nonpregnant adults 18-49 years old hospitalized with influenza, FluSurv-NET, 2011-2019
Famati EA , Ujamaa D , O'Halloran A , Kirley PD , Chai SJ , Armistead I , Alden NB , Yousey-Hindes K , Openo KP , Ryan PA , Monroe ML , Falkowski A , Kim S , Lynfield R , McMahon M , Angeles KM , Khanlian SA , Spina NL , Bennett NM , Gaitán MA , Shiltz E , Lung K , Thomas A , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , George A , Staten H , Bozio CH , Garg S . Open Forum Infect Dis 2023 10 (12) ofad599 BACKGROUND: Older age and chronic conditions are associated with severe influenza outcomes; however, data are only comprehensively available for adults ≥65 years old. Using data from the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET), we identified characteristics associated with severe outcomes in adults 18-49 years old hospitalized with influenza. METHODS: We included FluSurv-NET data from nonpregnant adults 18-49 years old hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza during the 2011-2012 through 2018-2019 seasons. We used bivariate and multivariable logistic regression to determine associations between select characteristics and severe outcomes including intensive care unit (ICU) admission, invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), and in-hospital death. RESULTS: A total of 16 140 patients aged 18-49 years and hospitalized with influenza were included in the analysis; the median age was 39 years, and 26% received current-season influenza vaccine before hospitalization. Obesity, asthma, and diabetes mellitus were the most common chronic conditions. Conditions associated with a significantly increased risk of severe outcomes included age group 30-39 or 40-49 years (IMV, age group 30-39 years: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.25; IMV, age group 40-49 years: aOR, 1.36; death, age group 30-39 years: aOR, 1.28; death, age group 40-49 years: aOR, 1.69), being unvaccinated (ICU: aOR, 1.18; IMV: aOR, 1.25; death: aOR, 1.48), and having chronic conditions including extreme obesity and chronic lung, cardiovascular, metabolic, neurologic, or liver diseases (ICU: range aOR, 1.22-1.56; IMV: range aOR, 1.17-1.54; death: range aOR, 1.43-2.36). CONCLUSIONS: To reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with influenza among adults aged 18-49 years, health care providers should strongly encourage receipt of annual influenza vaccine and lifestyle/behavioral modifications, particularly among those with chronic medical conditions. |
Sex differences in COVID-19 symptom severity and trajectories among ambulatory adults
Massion SP , Howa AC , Zhu Y , Kim A , Halasa N , Chappell J , McGonigle T , Mellis AM , Deyoe JE , Reed C , Rolfes MA , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2023 17 (12) e13235 BACKGROUND: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has led to hundreds of millions of infections worldwide. Although differences in COVID-19 hospitalization rates between males and females have been described, many infections in the general population have been mild, and the severity of symptoms during the course of COVID-19 in non-hospitalized males and females is not well understood. METHODS: We conducted a case-ascertained study to examine household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Nashville, Tennessee, between April 2020 and April 2021. Among enrolled ambulatory adult participants with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections, we assessed the presence and severity of symptoms (total, systemic, and respiratory) daily using a symptoms severity questionnaire, from illness onset and throughout the 2-week follow-up period. We compared the mean daily symptom severity scores (0-3: none, mild, moderate, and severe) and change in symptoms between males and females using a multivariable linear mixed effects regression model. RESULTS: The analysis included 223 enrolled adults with SARS-CoV-2 infection (58% females, mostly white, non-Hispanic) from 146 households with 2917 total daily symptom reports. The overall mean severity of total symptoms reported over the illness period was 1.04 and 0.90 for females and males, respectively. Mean systemic and respiratory scores were higher for females than for males (p < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, females reported more severe total and systemic symptoms during the illness period compared with males. However, no significant differences in reported respiratory symptoms were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that among ambulatory adults with SARS-CoV-2 infections, females reported slightly higher symptom severity during their illness compared with males. |
Performance of established disease severity scores in predicting severe outcomes among adults hospitalized with influenza-FluSurv-NET, 2017-2018
Doyle JD , Garg S , O'Halloran AC , Grant L , Anderson EJ , Openo KP , Alden NB , Herlihy R , Meek J , Yousey-Hindes K , Monroe ML , Kim S , Lynfield R , McMahon M , Muse A , Spina N , Irizarry L , Torres S , Bennett NM , Gaitan MA , Hill M , Cummings CN , Reed C , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , Self WH , Williams D . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2023 17 (12) e13228 BACKGROUND: Influenza is a substantial cause of annual morbidity and mortality; however, correctly identifying those patients at increased risk for severe disease is often challenging. Several severity indices have been developed; however, these scores have not been validated for use in patients with influenza. We evaluated the discrimination of three clinical disease severity scores in predicting severe influenza-associated outcomes. METHODS: We used data from the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network to assess outcomes of patients hospitalized with influenza in the United States during the 2017-2018 influenza season. We computed patient scores at admission for three widely used disease severity scores: CURB-65, Quick Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), and the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI). We then grouped patients with severe outcomes into four severity tiers, ranging from ICU admission to death, and calculated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for each severity index in predicting these tiers of severe outcomes. RESULTS: Among 8252 patients included in this study, we found that all tested severity scores had higher discrimination for more severe outcomes, including death, and poorer discrimination for less severe outcomes, such as ICU admission. We observed the highest discrimination for PSI against in-hospital mortality, at 0.78. CONCLUSIONS: We observed low to moderate discrimination of all three scores in predicting severe outcomes among adults hospitalized with influenza. Given the substantial annual burden of influenza disease in the United States, identifying a prediction index for severe outcomes in adults requiring hospitalization with influenza would be beneficial for patient triage and clinical decision-making. |
Work attendance with acute respiratory illness before and during COVID-19 pandemic, United States, 2018-2022
Ahmed F , Nowalk MP , Zimmerman RK , Bear T , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Florea A , Tartof SY , Gaglani M , Smith M , McLean HQ , King JP , Martin ET , Monto AS , Phillips CH , Wernli KJ , Flannery B , Chung JR , Uzicanin A . Emerg Infect Dis 2023 29 (12) 2442-2450 Both SARS-CoV-2 and influenza virus can be transmitted by asymptomatic, presymptomatic, or symptomatic infected persons. We assessed effects on work attendance while ill before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States by analyzing data collected prospectively from persons with acute respiratory illnesses enrolled in a multistate study during 2018-2022. Persons with previous hybrid work experience were significantly less likely to work onsite on the day before through the first 3 days of illness than those without that experience, an effect more pronounced during the COVID-19 pandemic than during prepandemic influenza seasons. Persons with influenza or COVID-19 were significantly less likely to work onsite than persons with other acute respiratory illnesses. Among persons with positive COVID-19 test results available by the second or third day of illness, few worked onsite. Hybrid and remote work policies might reduce workplace exposures and help reduce spread of respiratory viruses. |
Vaccine effectiveness against influenza a-associated hospitalization, organ failure, and death: United States, 2022-2023
Lewis NM , Zhu Y , Peltan ID , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Bender WS , Taghizadeh L , Brown SM , Hager DN , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Lauring AS , Johnson NJ , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Columbus C , Gottlieb RL , Raver C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Johnson C , Lamerato L , Safdar B , Casey JD , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Baughman A , Womack KN , Swan SA , Harker E , Price A , DeCuir J , Surie D , Ellington S , Self WH . Clin Infect Dis 2023 BACKGROUND: Influenza circulation during the 2022-2023 season in the United States largely returned to pre-coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-pandemic patterns and levels. Influenza A(H3N2) viruses were detected most frequently this season, predominately clade 3C.2a1b.2a, a close antigenic match to the vaccine strain. METHODS: To understand effectiveness of the 2022-2023 influenza vaccine against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failure, and death, a multicenter sentinel surveillance network in the United States prospectively enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness between 1 October 2022, and 28 February 2023. Using the test-negative design, vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failures, and death were measured by comparing the odds of current-season influenza vaccination in influenza-positive case-patients and influenza-negative, SARS-CoV-2-negative control-patients. RESULTS: A total of 3707 patients, including 714 influenza cases (33% vaccinated) and 2993 influenza- and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-negative controls (49% vaccinated) were analyzed. VE against influenza-associated hospitalization was 37% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27%-46%) and varied by age (18-64 years: 47% [30%-60%]; ≥65 years: 28% [10%-43%]), and virus (A[H3N2]: 29% [6%-46%], A[H1N1]: 47% [23%-64%]). VE against more severe influenza-associated outcomes included: 41% (29%-50%) against influenza with hypoxemia treated with supplemental oxygen; 65% (56%-72%) against influenza with respiratory, cardiovascular, or renal failure treated with organ support; and 66% (40%-81%) against influenza with respiratory failure treated with invasive mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSIONS: During an early 2022-2023 influenza season with a well-matched influenza vaccine, vaccination was associated with reduced risk of influenza-associated hospitalization and organ failure. |
Symptoms, viral loads, and rebound among COVID-19 outpatients treated with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir compared to propensity score matched untreated individuals
Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Biddle JE , Talbot HK , Morrisey KG , Stockwell MS , Maldonado Y , McLean HQ , Ellingson KD , Bowman NM , Asturias E , Mellis AM , Johnson S , Kirking HL , Rolfes MAR , Olivo V , Merrill L , Battan-Wraith S , Sano E , McLaren SH , Vargas CY , Goodman S , Sarnquist CC , Govindaranjan P , Petrie JG , Belongia EA , Ledezma K , Pryor K , Lutrick K , Bullock A , Yang A , Haehnel Q , Rao S , Zhu Y , Schmitz J , Hart K , Grijalva CG , Salvatore PP . Clin Infect Dis 2023 BACKGROUND: Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (N/R) reduces severe outcomes among patients with COVID-19; however, rebound after treatment has been reported. We compared symptom and viral dynamics in community-based individuals with COVID-19 who completed N/R and similar untreated individuals. METHODS: We identified symptomatic participants who tested SARS-CoV-2 positive and were N/R eligible from a COVID-19 household transmission study: index cases from ambulatory settings and their households were enrolled, collecting daily symptoms, medication use, and respiratory specimens for quantitative PCR for 10 days, March 2022-May 2023. Participants who completed N/R (treated) were propensity score matched to untreated participants. We compared symptom rebound, viral load (VL) rebound, average daily symptoms, and average daily VL by treatment status measured after N/R completion or, if untreated, seven days after symptom onset. RESULTS: Treated (n=130) and untreated participants (n=241) had similar baseline characteristics. After treatment completion, treated participants had greater occurrence of symptom rebound (32% vs 20%; p=0.009) and VL rebound (27% vs 7%; p<0.001). Average daily symptoms were lower among treated participants compared to untreated participants without symptom rebound (1.0 vs 1.6; p<0.01), but not statistically lower with symptom rebound (3.0 vs 3.4; p=0.5). Treated participants had lower average daily VLs without VL rebound (0.9 vs 2.6; p<0.01), but not statistically lower with VL rebound (4.8 vs 5.1; p=0.7). CONCLUSIONS: Individuals who completed N/R experienced fewer symptoms and lower VL but were more likely to have rebound compared to untreated individuals. Providers should still prescribe N/R, when indicated, and communicate possible increased rebound risk to patients. |
Prevention and control of seasonal influenza with vaccines: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee On Immunization Practices — United States, 2023–24 influenza season
Grohskopf LA , Blanton LH , Ferdinands JM , Chung JR , Broder KR , Talbot HK . MMWR Recommendations and Reports 2023 72 (2) This report updates the 2022–23 recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) concerning the use of seasonal influenza vaccines in the United States (MMWR Recomm Rep 2022;71[No. RR-1]:1–28). Routine annual influenza vaccination is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months who do not have contraindications. All seasonal influenza vaccines expected to be available in the United States for the 2023–24 season are quadrivalent, containing hemagglutinin (HA) derived from one influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus, one influenza A(H3N2) virus, one influenza B/Victoria lineage virus, and one influenza B/Yamagata lineage virus. Inactivated influenza vaccines (IIV4s), recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV4), and live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV4) are expected to be available. For most persons who need only 1 dose of influenza vaccine for the season, vaccination should ideally be offered during September or October. However, vaccination should continue after October and throughout the season as long as influenza viruses are circulating and unexpired vaccine is available. Influenza vaccines might be available as early as July or August, but for most adults (particularly adults aged ≥65 years) and for pregnant persons in the first or second trimester, vaccination during July and August should be avoided unless there is concern that vaccination later in the season might not be possible. Certain children aged 6 months through 8 years need 2 doses; these children should receive the first dose as soon as possible after vaccine is available, including during July and August. Vaccination during July and August can be considered for children of any age who need only 1 dose for the season and for pregnant persons who are in the third trimester during these months if vaccine is available. ACIP recommends that all persons aged ≥6 months who do not have contraindications receive a licensed and age-appropriate seasonal influenza vaccine. With the exception of vaccination for adults aged ≥65 years, ACIP makes no preferential recommendation for a specific vaccine when more than one licensed, recommended, and age-appropriate vaccine is available. ACIP recommends that adults aged ≥65 years preferentially receive any one of the following higher dose or adjuvanted influenza vaccines: quadrivalent high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (HD-IIV4), quadrivalent recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV4), or quadrivalent adjuvanted inactivated influenza vaccine (aIIV4). If none of these three vaccines is available at an opportunity for vaccine administration, then any other age-appropriate influenza vaccine should be used. Primary updates to this report include the following two topics: 1) the composition of 2023–24 U.S. seasonal influenza vaccines and 2) updated recommendations regarding influenza vaccination of persons with egg allergy. First, the composition of 2023–24 U.S. influenza vaccines includes an update to the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 component. U.S.-licensed influenza vaccines will contain HA derived from 1) an influenza A/Victoria/4897/2022 (H1N1)pdm09-like virus (for egg-based vaccines) or an influenza A/Wisconsin/67/2022 (H1N1)pdm09-like virus (for cell culture-based and recombinant vaccines); 2) an influenza A/Darwin/9/2021 (H3N2)-like virus (for egg-based vaccines) or an influenza A/Darwin/6/2021 (H3N2)-like virus (for cell culture-based and recombinant vaccines); 3) an influenza B/Austria/1359417/2021 (Victoria lineage)-like virus; and 4) an influenza B/Phuket/3073/2013 (Yamagata lineage)-like virus. Second, ACIP recommends that all persons aged ≥6 months with egg allergy should receive influenza vaccine. Any influenza vaccine (egg based or nonegg based) that is otherwise appropriate for the recipient’s age and health status can be used. It is no longer recommended that persons who have had an allergic reaction to egg involving symptoms other than urticaria should be vaccinated in an inpatient or outpatient medical setting supervised by a health care provider who is able to recognize and man ge severe allergic reactions if an egg-based vaccine is used. Egg allergy alone necessitates no additional safety measures for influenza vaccination beyond those recommended for any recipient of any vaccine, regardless of severity of previous reaction to egg. All vaccines should be administered in settings in which personnel and equipment needed for rapid recognition and treatment of acute hypersensitivity reactions are available. © (2023). All Rights Reserved. |
Use of updated COVID-19 vaccines 2023-2024 formula for persons aged ≥6 months: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices - United States, September 2023
Regan JJ , Moulia DL , Link-Gelles R , Godfrey M , Mak J , Najdowski M , Rosenblum HG , Shah MM , Twentyman E , Meyer S , Peacock G , Thornburg N , Havers FP , Saydah S , Brooks O , Talbot HK , Lee GM , Bell BP , Mahon BE , Daley MF , Fleming-Dutra KE , Wallace M . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (42) 1140-1146 COVID-19 vaccines protect against severe COVID-19-associated outcomes, including hospitalization and death. As SARS-CoV-2 has evolved, and waning vaccine effectiveness has been noted, vaccine formulations and policies have been updated to provide continued protection against severe illness and death from COVID-19. Since September 2022, bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines have been recommended in the United States, but the variants these vaccines protect against are no longer circulating widely. On September 11, 2023, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the updated (2023-2024 Formula) COVID-19 mRNA vaccines by Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech for persons aged ≥12 years and authorized these vaccines for persons aged 6 months-11 years under Emergency Use Authorization (EUA). On October 3, 2023, FDA authorized the updated COVID-19 vaccine by Novavax for use in persons aged ≥12 years under EUA. The updated COVID-19 vaccines include a monovalent XBB.1.5 component, which is meant to broaden vaccine-induced immunity and provide protection against currently circulating SARS-CoV-2 XBB-sublineage variants including against severe COVID-19-associated illness and death. On September 12, 2023, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended vaccination with updated COVID-19 vaccines for all persons aged ≥6 months. These recommendations will be reviewed as new evidence becomes available or new vaccines are approved and might be updated. |
High influenza incidence and disease severity among children and adolescents aged <18 years - United States, 2022-23 season
White EB , O'Halloran A , Sundaresan D , Gilmer M , Threlkel R , Colón A , Tastad K , Chai SJ , Alden NB , Yousey-Hindes K , Openo KP , Ryan PA , Kim S , Lynfield R , Spina N , Tesini BL , Martinez M , Schmidt Z , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Hill M , Biggerstaff M , Budd A , Garg S , Reed C , Iuliano AD , Bozio CH . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (41) 1108-1114 During the 2022-23 influenza season, early increases in influenza activity, co-circulation of influenza with other respiratory viruses, and high influenza-associated hospitalization rates, particularly among children and adolescents, were observed. This report describes the 2022-23 influenza season among children and adolescents aged <18 years, including the seasonal severity assessment; estimates of U.S. influenza-associated medical visits, hospitalizations, and deaths; and characteristics of influenza-associated hospitalizations. The 2022-23 influenza season had high severity among children and adolescents compared with thresholds based on previous seasons' influenza-associated outpatient visits, hospitalization rates, and deaths. Nationally, the incidences of influenza-associated outpatient visits and hospitalization for the 2022-23 season were similar for children aged <5 years and higher for children and adolescents aged 5-17 years compared with previous seasons. Peak influenza-associated outpatient and hospitalization activity occurred in late November and early December. Among children and adolescents hospitalized with influenza during the 2022-23 season in hospitals participating in the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network, a lower proportion were vaccinated (18.3%) compared with previous seasons (35.8%-41.8%). Early influenza circulation, before many children and adolescents had been vaccinated, might have contributed to the high hospitalization rates during the 2022-23 season. Among symptomatic hospitalized patients, receipt of influenza antiviral treatment (64.9%) was lower than during pre-COVID-19 pandemic seasons (80.8%-87.1%). CDC recommends that all persons aged ≥6 months without contraindications should receive the annual influenza vaccine, ideally by the end of October. |
Characteristics and outcomes among adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed respiratory syncytial virus - RSV-NET, 12 States, July 2022-June 2023
Havers FP , Whitaker M , Melgar M , Chatwani B , Chai SJ , Alden NB , Meek J , Openo KP , Ryan PA , Kim S , Lynfield R , Shaw YP , Barney G , Tesini BL , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Olsen KP , Patton ME . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (40) 1075-1082 Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes substantial morbidity and mortality in older adults. In May 2023, two RSV vaccines were approved for prevention of RSV lower respiratory tract disease in adults aged ≥60 years. In June 2023, CDC recommended RSV vaccination for adults aged ≥60 years, using shared clinical decision-making. Using data from the Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network, a population-based hospitalization surveillance system operating in 12 states, this analysis examined characteristics (including age, underlying medical conditions, and clinical outcomes) of 3,218 adults aged ≥60 years who were hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed RSV infection during July 2022-June 2023. Among a random sample of 1,634 older adult patients with RSV-associated hospitalization, 54.1% were aged ≥75 years, and the most common underlying medical conditions were obesity, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, and diabetes. Severe outcomes occurred in 18.5% (95% CI = 15.9%-21.2%) of hospitalized patients aged ≥60 years. Overall, 17.0% (95% CI = 14.5%-19.7%) of patients with RSV infection were admitted to an intensive care unit, 4.8% (95% CI = 3.5%-6.3%) required mechanical ventilation, and 4.7% (95% CI = 3.6%-6.1%) died; 17.2% (95% CI = 14.9%-19.8%) of all cases occurred in long-term care facility residents. These data highlight the importance of prioritizing those at highest risk for severe RSV disease and suggest that clinicians and patients consider age (particularly age ≥75 years), long-term care facility residence, and underlying medical conditions, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and congestive heart failure, in shared clinical decision-making when offering RSV vaccine to adults aged ≥60 years. |
Disease severity of respiratory syncytial virus compared with COVID-19 and influenza among hospitalized adults aged ≥60 years - IVY Network, 20 U.S. States, February 2022-May 2023
Surie D , Yuengling KA , DeCuir J , Zhu Y , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , Ghamande S , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Leis AM , Khan A , Hough CL , Bender WS , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Lauring AS , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Rice TW , Womack KN , Han JH , Swan SA , Mukherjee I , Lewis NM , Ellington S , McMorrow ML , Martin ET , Self WH . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (40) 1083-1088 On June 21, 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination for adults aged ≥60 years, offered to individual adults using shared clinical decision-making. Informed use of these vaccines requires an understanding of RSV disease severity. To characterize RSV-associated severity, 5,784 adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 U.S. states during February 1, 2022-May 31, 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to compare RSV disease severity with COVID-19 and influenza severity on the basis of the following outcomes: 1) standard flow (<30 L/minute) oxygen therapy, 2) high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) or noninvasive ventilation (NIV), 3) intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and 4) invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death. Overall, 304 (5.3%) enrolled adults were hospitalized with RSV, 4,734 (81.8%) with COVID-19 and 746 (12.9%) with influenza. Patients hospitalized with RSV were more likely to receive standard flow oxygen, HFNC or NIV, and ICU admission than were those hospitalized with COVID-19 or influenza. Patients hospitalized with RSV were more likely to receive IMV or die compared with patients hospitalized with influenza (adjusted odds ratio = 2.08; 95% CI = 1.33-3.26). Among hospitalized older adults, RSV was less common, but was associated with more severe disease than COVID-19 or influenza. High disease severity in older adults hospitalized with RSV is important to consider in shared clinical decision-making regarding RSV vaccination. |
COVID-19-associated hospitalizations among U.S. Adults aged ≥65 years - COVID-NET, 13 States, January-August 2023
Taylor CA , Patel K , Patton ME , Reingold A , Kawasaki B , Meek J , Openo K , Ryan PA , Falkowski A , Bye E , Plymesser K , Spina N , Tesini BL , Moran NE , Sutton M , Talbot HK , George A , Havers FP . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (40) 1089-1094 Adults aged ≥65 years remain at elevated risk for severe COVID-19 disease and have higher COVID-19-associated hospitalization rates compared with those in younger age groups. Data from the COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) were analyzed to estimate COVID-19-associated hospitalization rates during January-August 2023 and identify demographic and clinical characteristics of hospitalized patients aged ≥65 years during January-June 2023. Among adults aged ≥65 years, hospitalization rates more than doubled, from 6.8 per 100,000 during the week ending July 15 to 16.4 per 100,000 during the week ending August 26, 2023. Across all age groups, adults aged ≥65 years accounted for 62.9% (95% CI = 60.1%-65.7%) of COVID-19-associated hospitalizations, 61.3% (95% CI = 54.7%-67.6%) of intensive care unit admissions, and 87.9% (95% CI = 80.5%-93.2%) of in-hospital deaths associated with COVID-19 hospitalizations. Most hospitalized adults aged ≥65 years (90.3%; 95% CI = 87.2%-92.8%) had multiple underlying conditions, and fewer than one quarter (23.5%; 95% CI = 19.5%-27.7%) had received the recommended COVID-19 bivalent vaccine. Because adults aged ≥65 years remain at increased risk for COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe outcomes, guidance for this age group should continue to focus on measures to prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, encourage vaccination, and promote early treatment for persons who receive a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result to reduce their risk for severe COVID-19-associated outcomes. |
Severity of influenza-associated hospitalisations by influenza virus type and subtype in the USA, 2010-19: a repeated cross-sectional study
Sumner KM , Masalovich S , O'Halloran A , Holstein R , Reingold A , Kirley PD , Alden NB , Herlihy RK , Meek J , Yousey-Hindes K , Anderson EJ , Openo KP , Monroe ML , Leegwater L , Henderson J , Lynfield R , McMahon M , McMullen C , Angeles KM , Spina NL , Engesser K , Bennett NM , Felsen CB , Lung K , Shiltz E , Thomas A , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , Swain A , George A , Rolfes MA , Reed C , Garg S . Lancet Microbe 2023 4 (11) e903-e912 BACKGROUND: Influenza burden varies across seasons, partly due to differences in circulating influenza virus types or subtypes. Using data from the US population-based surveillance system, Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET), we aimed to assess the severity of influenza-associated outcomes in individuals hospitalised with laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infections during the 2010-11 to 2018-19 influenza seasons. METHODS: To evaluate the association between influenza virus type or subtype causing the infection (influenza A H3N2, A H1N1pdm09, and B viruses) and in-hospital severity outcomes (intensive care unit [ICU] admission, use of mechanical ventilation or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation [ECMO], and death), we used FluSurv-NET to capture data for laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalisations from the 2010-11 to 2018-19 influenza seasons for individuals of all ages living in select counties in 13 US states. All individuals had to have an influenza virus test within 14 days before or during their hospital stay and an admission date between Oct 1 and April 30 of an influenza season. Exclusion criteria were individuals who did not have a complete chart review; cases from sites that contributed data for three or fewer seasons; hospital-onset cases; cases with unidentified influenza type; cases of multiple influenza virus type or subtype co-infection; or individuals younger than 6 months and ineligible for the influenza vaccine. Logistic regression models adjusted for influenza season, influenza vaccination status, age, and FluSurv-NET site compared odds of in-hospital severity by virus type or subtype. When missing, influenza A subtypes were imputed using chained equations of known subtypes by season. FINDINGS: Data for 122 941 individuals hospitalised with influenza were captured in FluSurv-NET from the 2010-11 to 2018-19 seasons; after exclusions were applied, 107 941 individuals remained and underwent influenza A virus imputation when missing A subtype (43·4%). After imputation, data for 104 969 remained and were included in the final analytic sample. Averaging across imputed datasets, 57·7% (weighted percentage) had influenza A H3N2, 24·6% had influenza A H1N1pdm09, and 17·7% had influenza B virus infections; 16·7% required ICU admission, 6·5% received mechanical ventilation or ECMO, and 3·0% died (95% CIs had a range of less than 0·1% and are not displayed). Individuals with A H1N1pdm09 had higher odds of in-hospital severe outcomes than those with A H3N2: adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for A H1N1pdm09 versus A H3N2 were 1·42 (95% CI 1·32-1·52) for ICU admission; 1·79 (1·60-2·00) for mechanical ventilation or ECMO use; and 1·25 (1·07-1·46) for death. The adjusted ORs for individuals infected with influenza B versus influenza A H3N2 were 1·06 (95% CI 1·01-1·12) for ICU admission, 1·14 (1·05-1·24) for mechanical ventilation or ECMO use, and 1·18 (1·07-1·31) for death. INTERPRETATION: Despite a higher burden of hospitalisations with influenza A H3N2, we found an increased likelihood of in-hospital severe outcomes in individuals hospitalised with influenza A H1N1pdm09 or influenza B virus. Thus, it is important for individuals to receive an annual influenza vaccine and for health-care providers to provide early antiviral treatment for patients with suspected influenza who are at increased risk of severe outcomes, not only when there is high influenza A H3N2 virus circulation but also when influenza A H1N1pdm09 and influenza B viruses are circulating. FUNDING: The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Estimating the burden of influenza hospitalizations across multiple seasons using capture-recapture
Howa AC , Zhu Y , Wyatt D , Markus T , Chappell JD , Halasa N , Trabue CH , Olson S , Ferdinands J , Garg S , Schaffner W , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK . J Infect Dis 2023 INTRODUCTION: Influenza remains an important cause of hospitalizations in the United States. Estimating the number of influenza hospitalizations is vital for public health decision making. Combining existing surveillance systems through capture-recapture methods allows for more comprehensive burden estimations. METHODS: Data from independent surveillance systems were combined using capture-recapture methods to estimate influenza hospitalization rates for children and adults in Middle Tennessee during consecutive influenza seasons from 2016-17 through 2019-20. EIP identified cases through surveillance of laboratory results for hospitalized children and adults. HAIVEN and NVSN recruited hospitalized patients with respiratory symptoms or fever. Population-based influenza rates and the proportion of cases detected by each surveillance system were calculated. RESULTS: Estimated overall influenza hospitalization rates ranged from 23 influenza-related hospitalizations per 10,000 persons in 2016-17 to 40 per 10,000 persons in 2017-18. Adults age ≥65 years had the highest hospitalization rates across seasons and experienced a rate of 170 hospitalizations per 10,000 persons during the 2017-18 season. EIP consistently identified a higher proportion of influenza cases for adults and children compared with HAIVEN and NVSN, respectively. CONCLUSION: Current surveillance systems underestimate the influenza burden. Capture-recapture provides an alternative approach to use data from independent surveillance systems and complement population-based burden estimates. |
Clinical Trends Among U.S. Adults Hospitalized with COVID-19, March-December 2020 (preprint)
Garg S , Patel K , Pham H , Whitaker M , O'Halloran A , Milucky J , Anglin O , Kirley PD , Reingold A , Kawasaki B , Herlihy R , Yousey-Hindes K , Maslar A , Anderson EJ , Openo KP , Weigel A , Teno K , Ryan PA , Monroe ML , Reeg L , Kim S , Como-Sabetti K , Bye E , Shrum Davis S , Eisenberg N , Muse A , Barney G , Bennett NM , Felsen CB , Billing L , Shiltz J , Sutton M , Abdullah N , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , Hill M , Chatelain R , Wortham J , Taylor C , Hall A , Fry AM , Kim L , Havers FP . medRxiv 2021 2021.04.21.21255473 Background The COVID-19 pandemic has caused substantial morbidity and mortality.Objectives To describe monthly demographic and clinical trends among adults hospitalized with COVID-19.Design Pooled cross-sectional.Setting 99 counties within 14 states participating in the Coronavirus Disease 2019-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET).Patients U.S. adults (aged ≥18 years) hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 during March 1-December 31, 2020.Measurements Monthly trends in weighted percentages of interventions and outcomes including length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit admissions (ICU), invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), vasopressor use and in-hospital death (death). Monthly hospitalization, ICU and death rates per 100,000 population.Results Among 116,743 hospitalized adults, median age was 62 years. Among 18,508 sampled adults, median LOS decreased from 6.4 (March) to 4.6 days (December). Remdesivir and systemic corticosteroid use increased from 1.7% and 18.9% (March) to 53.8% and 74.2% (December), respectively. Frequency of ICU decreased from 37.8% (March) to 20.5% (December). IMV (27.8% to 8.7%), vasopressors (22.7% to 8.8%) and deaths (13.9% to 8.7%) decreased from March to October; however, percentages of these interventions and outcomes remained stable or increased in November and December. Percentage of deaths significantly decreased over time for non-Hispanic White patients (p-value <0.01) but not non-Hispanic Black or Hispanic patients. Rates of hospitalization (105.3 per 100,000), ICU (20.2) and death (11.7) were highest during December.Limitations COVID-NET covers approximately 10% of the U.S. population; findings may not be generalizable to the entire country.Conclusions After initial improvement during April-October 2020, trends in interventions and outcomes worsened during November-December, corresponding with the 3rd peak of the U.S. pandemic. These data provide a longitudinal assessment of trends in COVID-19-associated outcomes prior to widespread COVID-19 vaccine implementation.Competing Interest StatementDr. Evan Anderson reports grants from Pfizer, grants from Merck, grants from PaxVax, grants from Micron, grants from Sanofi-Pasteur, grants from Janssen, grants from MedImmune, grants from GSK, personal fees from Sanofi-Pasteur, personal fees from Pfizer, personal fees from Medscape, personal fees from Kentucky Bioprocessing, Inc, personal fees from Sanofi-Pasteur, outside the submitted work. Dr. William Schaffner reports personal fees from VBI Vaccines, outside the submitted work. Funding StatementThis work was supported by the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention through an Emerging Infections Program cooperative agreement (grant CK17-1701) and through a Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists cooperative agreement (grant NU38OT000297-02-00).Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:This activity was reviewed by CDC and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy. Sites participating in COVID-NET obtained approval from their respective state and local Institutional Review Boards, as applicable.All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting check ist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesPublicly available data referred to in this analysis can be found at: https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/covidnet/covid19_3.html https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/covidnet/covid19_3.html |
COVID-19-associated hospitalizations among vaccinated and unvaccinated adults ≥18 years – COVID-NET, 13 states, January 1 – July 24, 2021 (preprint)
Havers FP , Pham H , Taylor CA , Whitaker M , Patel K , Anglin O , Kambhampati AK , Milucky J , Zell E , Chai SJ , Kirley PD , Alden NB , Armistead I , Yousey-Hindes K , Meek J , Openo KP , Anderson EJ , Reeg L , Kohrman A , Lynfield R , Como-Sabetti K , Davis EM , Cline C , Muse A , Barney G , Bushey S , Felsen CB , Billing LM , Shiltz E , Sutton M , Abdullah N , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , Hill M , George A , Murthy BP , McMorrow M . medRxiv 2021 2021.08.27.21262356 Background As of August 21, 2021, >60% of the U.S. population aged ≥18 years were fully vaccinated with vaccines highly effective in preventing hospitalization due to Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19). Infection despite full vaccination (vaccine breakthrough) has been reported, but characteristics of those with vaccine breakthrough resulting in hospitalization and relative rates of hospitalization in unvaccinated and vaccinated persons are not well described, including during late June and July 2021 when the highly transmissible Delta variant predominated.Methods From January 1–June 30, 2021, cases defined as adults aged ≥18 years with laboratory-confirmed Severe Acute Respiratory Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection were identified from >250 acute care hospitals in the population-based COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET). Through chart review for sampled cases, we examine characteristics associated with vaccination breakthrough. From January 24–July 24, 2021, state immunization information system data linked to both >37,000 cases representative cases and the defined surveillance catchment area population were used to compare weekly hospitalization rates in vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. Unweighted case counts and weighted percentages are presented.Results From January 1 – June 30, 2021, fully vaccinated cases increased from 1 (0.01%) to 321 (16.1%) per month. Among 4,732 sampled cases, fully vaccinated persons admitted with COVID-19 were older compared with unvaccinated persons (median age 73 years [Interquartile Range (IQR) 65-80] v. 59 years [IQR 48-70]; p<0.001), more likely to have 3 or more underlying medical conditions (201 (70.8%) v. 2,305 (56.1%), respectively; p<0.001) and be residents of long-term care facilities [37 (14.5%) v. 146 (5.5%), respectively; p<0.001]. From January 24 – July 24, 2021, cumulative hospitalization rates were 17 times higher in unvaccinated persons compared with vaccinated persons (423 cases per 100,000 population v. 26 per 100,000 population, respectively); rate ratios were 23, 22 and 13 for those aged 18-49, 50-64, and ≥65 years respectively. For June 27 – July 24, hospitalization rates were ≥10 times higher in unvaccinated persons compared with vaccinated persons for all age groups across all weeks.Conclusion Population-based hospitalization rates show that unvaccinated adults aged ≥18 years are 17 times more likely to be hospitalized compared with vaccinated adults. Rates are far higher in unvaccinated persons in all adult age groups, including during a period when the Delta variant was the predominant strain of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Vaccines continue to play a critical role in preventing serious COVID-19 illness and remain highly effective in preventing COVID-19 hospitalizations.Competing Interest StatementAll authors have completed and submitted the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors form for disclosure of potential conflicts of interest. Evan J. Anderson reports grants from Pfizer, grants from Merck, grants from PaxVax, grants from Micron, grants from Sanofi-Pasteur, grants from Janssen, grants from MedImmune, grants from GSK, personal fees from Sanofi-Pasteur, personal fees from Pfizer, personal fees from Medscape, personal fees from Kentucky Bioprocessing, Inc, personal fees from Sanofi-Pasteur, personal fees from Janssen, outside the submitted work; and his institution has also received funding from NIH to conduct clinical trials of Moderna and Janssen COVID-19 vaccines. Ruth Lynfield reports Associate Editor for American Academy of Pediatrics Red Book (Committee on Infectious Diseases), donated fee to Minnesota Department of Health. Laurie M. Billing reports grants from Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CSTE), during the conduct of the study; grants from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) outside the submitted work. William Schaffner reports personal fees from VBI Vaccines, outside the submitted work. No other potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.Funding StatementThis work was supported by the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention through an Emerging Infections Program cooperative agreement (grant CK17-1701) and through a Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists cooperative agreement (grant NU38OT000297-02-00).Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:This activity was reviewed by CDC and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy (see e.g., 45 C.F.R. part 46.102(l)(2), 21 C.F.R. part 56; 42 U.S.C. 241(d); 5 U.S.C.All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesPublicly available data referred to in this analysis can be found at: https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/covidnet/covid19_3.html https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_5.html https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/covidnet/covid19_3.html https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_5.html |
Risk Factors for COVID-19-associated hospitalization: COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network and Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (preprint)
Ko JY , Danielson ML , Town M , Derado G , Greenlund KJ , Daily Kirley P , Alden NB , Yousey-Hindes K , Anderson EJ , Ryan PA , Kim S , Lynfield R , Torres SM , Barney GR , Bennett NM , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Hill M , Hall AJ , Fry AM , Garg S , Kim L . medRxiv 2020 2020.07.27.20161810 Background Identification of risk factors for COVID-19-associated hospitalization is needed to guide prevention and clinical care.Objective To examine if age, sex, race/ethnicity, and underlying medical conditions is independently associated with COVID-19-associated hospitalizations.Design Cross-sectional.Setting 70 counties within 12 states participating in the Coronavirus Disease 2019-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) and a population-based sample of non-hospitalized adults residing in the COVID-NET catchment area from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.Participants U.S. community-dwelling adults (≥18 years) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19-associated hospitalizations, March 1- June 23, 2020.Measurements Adjusted rate ratios (aRR) of hospitalization by age, sex, race/ethnicity and underlying medical conditions (hypertension, coronary artery disease, history of stroke, diabetes, obesity [BMI ≥30 kg/m2], severe obesity [BMI≥40 kg/m2], chronic kidney disease, asthma, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease).Results Our sample included 5,416 adults with COVID-19-associated hospitalizations. Adults with (versus without) severe obesity (aRR:4.4; 95%CI: 3.4, 5.7), chronic kidney disease (aRR:4.0; 95%CI: 3.0, 5.2), diabetes (aRR:3.2; 95%CI: 2.5, 4.1), obesity (aRR:2.9; 95%CI: 2.3, 3.5), hypertension (aRR:2.8; 95%CI: 2.3, 3.4), and asthma (aRR:1.4; 95%CI: 1.1, 1.7) had higher rates of hospitalization, after adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity. In models adjusting for the presence of an individual underlying medical condition, higher hospitalization rates were observed for adults ≥65 years, 45-64 years (versus 18-44 years), males (versus females), and non-Hispanic black and other race/ethnicities (versus non-Hispanic whites).Limitations Interim analysis limited to hospitalizations with underlying medical condition data.Conclusion Our findings elucidate groups with higher hospitalization risk that may benefit from targeted preventive and therapeutic interventions.Competing Interest StatementDr. Anderson reports personal fees from AbbVie, personal fees from Pfizer, grants from Pfizer, grants from Merck, grants from Micron, grants from Paxvax, grants from Sanofi Pasteur, grants from Novavax, grants from MedImmune, grants from Regeneron, grants from GSK, outside the submitted work. Mr. Henderson, Ms. Kim, Ms. George, and Ms. Hill report grants from Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CSTE), during the conduct of the study. Dr. Lynfield reports grants from CDC- Emerging Infections Program, during the conduct of the study; and Royalties from a book on infectious disease surveillance and compensation for AAP Red Book (Report from Committee on Infectious Disease) donated to Minnesota Dept of Health. Dr. Schaffner reports grants from CDC, during the conduct of the study; personal fees from VBI Vaccines, outside the submitted work. Dr. Talbot reports other from Seqirus, outside the submitted work.Funding StatementThis work was supported by the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention through an Emerging Infections Program cooperative agreement (grant CK17-1701) and through a Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists cooperative agreement (grant NU38OT000297-02-00).Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:This analysis was exempt from CDC's Institutional Review Board, as it was considered part of public health surveillance and emergency response. Participating sites obtained approval for the COVID-NET surveillance protocol from their respective state and local IRBs, as required.All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved regi try, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesData is not publically available at this time. |
Effectiveness of Influenza Vaccine for Preventing Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Hospitalizations in Immunocompromised Adults (preprint)
Hughes K , Middleton DB , Nowalk MP , Balasubramani GK , Martin ET , Gaglani M , Talbot HK , Patel MM , Ferdinands JM , Zimmerman RK , Silveira FP . medRxiv 2020 2020.10.08.20208579 Background Yearly influenza immunization is recommended for immunocompromised (IC) individuals, although immune responses are lower than that for the non-immunocompromised and the data on vaccine effectiveness (VE) in the IC is scarce. We evaluated VE against influenza-associated hospitalization among IC adults.Methods We analyzed data from adults ≥ 18 years hospitalized with acute respiratory illness (ARI) during the 2017-2018 influenza season at 10 hospitals in the United States. IC adults were identified using pre-specified case-definitions, utilizing electronic medical record data. VE was evaluated with a test-negative case-control design using multivariate logistic regression with PCR-confirmed influenza as the outcome and vaccination status as the exposure, adjusting for age, enrolling site, illness onset date, race, days from onset to specimen collection, self-reported health, and self-reported hospitalizations.Results Of 3,524 adults hospitalized with ARI, 1,210 (34.3%) had an immunocompromising condition. IC adults were more likely to be vaccinated than non-IC (69.5% vs 65.2%), and less likely to have influenza (22% vs 27.8%). The mean age did not differ among IC and non-IC (61.4 vs 60.8 years old). The overall VE against influenza hospitalization, including immunocompetent adults, was 33% (95% CI, 21% to 44%). VE among IC vs non-IC adults was lower at 5% (−29% to 31%) vs. 41% (27% to 52%) (p<0.05 for interaction term).Conclusions VE in one influenza season was very low among IC individuals. Future efforts should include evaluation of VE among the different immunocompromising conditions and whether enhanced vaccines improve the suboptimal effectiveness among the immunocompromised.Competing Interest StatementDBM has received personal fees from Sequris, Pfizer, and Sanofi Pasteur, and grants from Pfizer. JF reports non-financial support from the Institute for Influenza Epidemiology. RKZ has received grants from Sanofi Pasteur and Merck & Co. All other authors report no potential conflicts.Clinical TrialThis study was not registered in ClinicalTrials.gov because it doesn't meet NIH's definition of a clinical trial.Funding StatementThis study was funded by the CDC (cooperative agreement IP15-002). Vanderbilt also received support from CTSA award number UL1 TR002243 from the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:The study protocol was reviewed by the Institutional Review Board at each participating institution and CDC, as detailed below: CDC's IRB: ethical approval given University of Pittsburgh IRB: ethical approval given University of Michigan IRB: ethical approval given Baylor Scott & White Health IRB: ethical approval given Vanderbilt University IRB: ethical approval given All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesData may be made available after completion of the study. |
Interim Analysis of Risk Factors for Severe Outcomes among a Cohort of Hospitalized Adults Identified through the U.S. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) (preprint)
Kim L , Garg S , O'Halloran A , Whitaker M , Pham H , Anderson EJ , Armistead I , Bennett NM , Billing L , Como-Sabetti K , Hill M , Kim S , Monroe ML , Muse A , Reingold AL , Schaffner W , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Torres SM , Yousey-Hindes K , Holstein R , Cummings C , Brammer L , Hall AJ , Fry AM , Langley GE . medRxiv 2020 2020.05.18.20103390 Background As of May 15, 2020, the United States has reported the greatest number of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and deaths globally.Objective To describe risk factors for severe outcomes among adults hospitalized with COVID-19.Design Cohort study of patients identified through the Coronavirus Disease 2019-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network.Setting 154 acute care hospitals in 74 counties in 13 states.Patients 2491 patients hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 during March 1-May 2, 2020.Measurements Age, sex, race/ethnicity, and underlying medical conditions.Results Ninety-two percent of patients had ≥1 underlying condition; 32% required intensive care unit (ICU) admission; 19% invasive mechanical ventilation; 15% vasopressors; and 17% died during hospitalization. Independent factors associated with ICU admission included ages 50-64, 65-74, 75-84 and ≥85 years versus 18-39 years (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.53, 1.65, 1.84 and 1.43, respectively); male sex (aRR 1.34); obesity (aRR 1.31); immunosuppression (aRR 1.29); and diabetes (aRR 1.13). Independent factors associated with in-hospital mortality included ages 50-64, 65-74, 75-84 and ≥85 years versus 18-39 years (aRR 3.11, 5.77, 7.67 and 10.98, respectively); male sex (aRR 1.30); immunosuppression (aRR 1.39); renal disease (aRR 1.33); chronic lung disease (aRR 1.31); cardiovascular disease (aRR 1.28); neurologic disorders (aRR 1.25); and diabetes (aRR 1.19). Race/ethnicity was not associated with either ICU admission or death.Limitation Data were limited to patients who were discharged or died in-hospital and had complete chart abstractions; patients who were still hospitalized or did not have accessible medical records were excluded.Conclusion In-hospital mortality for COVID-19 increased markedly with increasing age. These data help to characterize persons at highest risk for severe COVID-19-associated outcomes and define target groups for prevention and treatment strategies.Funding Source This work was supported by grant CK17-1701 from the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention through an Emerging Infections Program cooperative agreement and by Cooperative Agreement Number NU38OT000297-02-00 awarded to the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.Competing Interest StatementH. Keipp Talbot reports personal fees from Seqirus outside the submitted work. William Schaffner reports personal fees from Pfizer and personal fees from Roche Diagnostics outside the submitted work. Evan Anderson reports personal fees from Abbvie and Pfizer outside the submitted work. H. Keipp Talbot reports grants from Sanofi outside the submitted work; Mary Hill reports grants from CSTE, during the conduct of the study; Melissa Sutton reports grants from CDC Emerging Infections Program during the conduct of the study; William Schaffner reports grants from CDC during the conduct of the study. Sue Kim reports grants from CSTE during the conduct of the study. Evan Anderson reports grants from Pfizer, grants from MedImmune, grants from Regeneron, grants from PaxVax, grants from Merck, grants from Novavax, grants from Sanofi-Pasteur, grants from Micron, outside the submitted work. Laurie Billing reports grants from the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CSTE) and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) during the conduct of the study.Funding StatementThis work was supported by grant CK17-1701 from the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention through an Emerging Infections Program cooperative agreement and by Cooperative Agreement Number NU38OT000297-02-00 awarded to the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesAll necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that al clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAggregate data is available on CDC’s COVID-NET Interactive website. https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_3.html https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/COVIDNet/COVID19_5.html |
Changes in Transmission and Symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 in United States Households, April 2020-September 2022 (preprint)
Mellis AM , Lauring AS , Talbot HK , McLean HQ , Morrissey KG , Stockwell MS , Bowman NM , Maldonado Y , Ellingson KD , Rao S , Biddle JE , Johnson S , Ogokeh C , Salvatore PP , Reed C , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Meece JK , Hanson KE , Belongia EA , Bendall EE , Gilbert J , Olivo V , Merrill LS , McLaren SH , Sano E , Vargas CY , Saiman L , Silverio Francisco RA , Bullock A , Lin J , Govindarajan P , Goodman SH , Sarnquist CC , Lutrick K , Ledezma KI , Ramadan FA , Pryor K , Miiro FN , Asturias E , Dominguez S , Olson D , Izurieta HS , Chappell J , Lindsell C , Halasa N , Hart K , Zhu Y , Schmitz J , Rolfes MA , Grijalva CG . medRxiv 2023 19 Background: The natural history of SARS-CoV-2 infection and transmission dynamics may have changed as SARS-CoV-2 has evolved and population immunity has shifted. Method(s): Household contacts, enrolled from two multi-site case-ascertained household transmission studies (April 2020-April 2021 and September 2021-September 2022), were followed for 10-14 days after enrollment with daily collection of nasal swabs and/or saliva for SARS-CoV-2 testing and symptom diaries. SARS-CoV-2 virus lineage was determined by whole genome sequencing, with multiple imputation where sequences could not be recovered. Adjusted infection risks were estimated using modified Poisson regression. Finding(s): 858 primary cases with 1473 household contacts were examined. Among unvaccinated household contacts, the infection risk adjusted for presence of prior infection and age was 58% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 49-68%) in households currently exposed to pre-Delta lineages and 90% (95% CI: 74-100%) among those exposed to Omicron BA.5 (detected May - September 2022). The fraction of infected household contacts reporting any symptom was similarly high between pre-Delta (86%, 95% CI: 81-91%) and Omicron lineages (77%, 70-85%). Among Omicron BA.5-infected contacts, 48% (41-56%) reported fever, 63% (56-71%) cough, 22% (17-28%) shortness of breath, and 20% (15-27%) loss of/change in taste/smell. Interpretation(s): The risk of infection among household contacts exposed to SARS-CoV-2 is high and increasing with more recent SARS-CoV-2 lineages. This high infection risk highlights the importance of vaccination to prevent severe disease. Funding(s): Funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Food and Drug Administration. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
SARS-CoV-2 virus dynamics in recently infected people - data from a household transmission study (preprint)
Mellis AM , Meece JK , Halasa NB , Chappell JD , McLean HQ , Grijalva CG , Hanson KE , Zhu Y , Kim A , Deyoe J , Ivacic LC , Reed C , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . medRxiv 2022 18 (10) 1699-1703 We used daily real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) results from 67 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a household transmission study to examine the trajectory of cycle threshold (Ct) values, an inverse correlate of viral RNA concentration, from nasal specimens collected between April 2020 and May 2021. Ct values varied over the course of infection, across RT-PCR platforms, and by participant age. Specimens collected from children and adolescents showed higher Ct values and adults aged >=50 years showed lower Ct values than adults aged 18-49 years. Ct values were lower on days when participants reported experiencing symptoms. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Vaccine Effectiveness of Primary Series and Booster Doses against Omicron Variant COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization in the United States (preprint)
Adams K , Rhoads JP , Surie D , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Huynh D , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , Zepeski A , Shapiro NI , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hicks M , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Frosch AE , Exline MC , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Martin ET , Monto AS , Lauring AS , Khan A , Hough CL , Busse LW , ten Lohuis CC , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Gordon AJ , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Rivas C , Babcock HM , Kwon JH , Chappell JD , Halasa N , Grijalva CG , Rice TW , Stubblefield WB , Baughman A , Lindsell CJ , Hart KW , Lester SN , Thornburg NJ , Park S , McMorrow ML , Patel MM , Tenforde MW , Self WH . medRxiv 2022 14 Objectives: To compare the effectiveness of a primary COVID-19 vaccine series plus a booster dose with a primary series alone for the prevention of Omicron variant COVID-19 hospitalization. Design(s): Multicenter observational case-control study using the test-negative design to evaluate vaccine effectiveness (VE). Setting(s): Twenty-one hospitals in the United States (US). Participant(s): 3,181 adults hospitalized with an acute respiratory illness between December 26, 2021 and April 30, 2022, a period of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (BA.1, BA.2) predominance. Participants included 1,572 (49%) case-patients with laboratory confirmed COVID-19 and 1,609 (51%) control patients who tested negative for SARS-CoV-2. Median age was 64 years, 48% were female, and 21% were immunocompromised; 798 (25%) were vaccinated with a primary series plus booster, 1,326 (42%) were vaccinated with a primary series alone, and 1,057 (33%) were unvaccinated. Main Outcome Measure(s): VE against COVID-19 hospitalization was calculated for a primary series plus a booster and a primary series alone by comparing the odds of being vaccinated with each of these regimens versus being unvaccinated among cases versus controls. VE analyses were stratified by immune status (immunocompetent; immunocompromised) because the recommended vaccine schedules are different for these groups. The primary analysis evaluated all COVID-19 vaccine types combined and secondary analyses evaluated specific vaccine products. Result(s): Among immunocompetent patients, VE against Omicron COVID-19 hospitalization for a primary series plus one booster of any vaccine product dose was 77% (95% CI: 71-82%), and for a primary series alone was 44% (95% CI: 31-54%) (p<0.001). VE was higher for a boosted regimen than a primary series alone for both mRNA vaccines used in the US (BNT162b2: primary series plus booster VE 80% (95% CI: 73-85%), primary series alone VE 46% (95% CI: 30-58%) [p<0.001]; mRNA-1273: primary series plus booster VE 77% (95% CI: 67-83%), primary series alone VE 47% (95% CI: 30-60%) [p<0.001]). Among immunocompromised patients, VE for a primary series of any vaccine product against Omicron COVID-19 hospitalization was 60% (95% CI: 41-73%). Insufficient sample size has accumulated to calculate effectiveness of boosted regimens for immunocompromised patients. Conclusion(s): Among immunocompetent people, a booster dose of COVID-19 vaccine provided additional benefit beyond a primary vaccine series alone for preventing COVID-19 hospitalization due to the Omicron variant. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. |
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